China in Myanmar

This study investigates the conditions under which China intervenes in Myanmar’s long-running civil war, focusing on the motivations and timing of support for either the Myanmar government or rebel groups. Despite increasing recognition of China’s role as a regional hegemon with deep economic and security interests in Myanmar, existing literature lacks a systematic, data-driven analysis of its interventions. To address this gap, the study develops an original dataset of Chinese interventions from 2010 to 2024, capturing diplomatic, economic, and political activities not covered in existing sources by collecting formal diplomatic documents and news articles and analyzing them using text analysis methods. The findings aim to clarify the strategic logic of third-party involvement in civil wars and contribute to broader debates on foreign intervention, regional security, and the economic dimensions of international conflict.